Line movements. Dropping odds. Rising odds.

[tipsterpick]

Hi everyone,

I want to have some examples and discussion regarding relationship between dropping odds, rising odds or changing the lines of a sport event.

Source: Odds Archive

 

[tipsterpick]

Competition: World League
Teams: Greece-Romania
Starting Time: 2012-03-20 18:00 GMT

Open odds: 2.87 for Romania to win the match (2 Way)
After 1 hour and 26 minutes, the odds for Romania rise to 4.31 (means +50,17% rising)

The spread was starting at -1.5@2.00 for Greece then move to -2.0@2.06 and drop to 1.79
Because is it a AH I would say that GRE -2.0@1.97 is a good choice.

Graph explain: Graph Odds: Water Polo Greece-Romania

 

[tipsterpick]

Uniao Leiria vs Gil Vicente (Portuguese football)
Starting time: 16:00 GMT 2012-04-06
Pick: Gil Vicente +0.0 @ 1.98
Stake: 2 units (from 10)

Reason: the odds from Gil Vicente was dropping high in 1 hour from 3.24 to 2.50
Graph: http://www.oddsarchive.com/239037927

 

[tipsterpick]

Uniao Leiria vs Gil Vicente
score 0-0
TIE

 

[tipsterpick]

Volleyball » Italy S A1 W
2012-04-09 18:30 GMT
Yamamay Busto Arsizio vs MC-Carnaghi Villa Cortese

Pick: MC-Carnaghi Villa Cortese +1.5 @ 1.78
Stake: 1 unit from 10

Watch Pregame live odds movements

 

[tipsterpick]

Yamamay Busto Arsizio vs MC-Carnaghi Villa Cortese
Score: 2-3 (27:25, 23:25, 17:25, 25:20, 7:15)

WON
Profit: +0.78 units

 

[tipsterpick]

Soccer » Austria Cup
2012-04-11 15:59 GMT
Austria Lustenau vs Austria Wien

Pick: Austria Lustenau +0.5 @ 1.83
Stake: 1 unit from 10

Pre-game odds movement

 

[tipsterpick]

Austria Lustenau vs Austria Wien
Score 1-2
LOST
Profit: -1.0 unit

 

[tipsterpick]

El Clasico

Soccer » La Liga
2012-04-21 18:00 GMT
Barcelona vs. Real Madrid

Real Madrid +1.0 @ 1.93

Barcelona - Real Madrid Odds

 

[tipsterpick]

Barcelona - Real Madrid
Score: 1-2
Real Madrid +1.0 @ 1.93 WON

 

[tipsterpick]

Euro-League
Soccer » UEFA Cup
2012-05-09 18:45 GMT

Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao (played on neutral arena in Bucharest - ROM)

The graph odds are too symmetric and I'll go for a draw in regular time.
(An over 2.5 goals could be an option too).

With few hours before starting time, the odds movement were:

For viewing the further odds movement, please consider to visit:
Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao

 

[tipsterpick]

Final score 3-0. (Atletico Madrid - Atletic Bilbao)
The over 2.5 was a good choice.

Falcao will be bought by some bigger and stronger team in the near future.